Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -3.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies -6 (64-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burton * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 32 | - |
| O. Czyz * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 25 | - |
| M. Story * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| D. Hunt * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| K. Panzer | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| P. Nyeko | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Burris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Finn | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Elliott | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Fuetsch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cherry * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Mathias Ward * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Art Steward * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Derek Selvig * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Kareem Jamar * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Jordan Wood | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Billy Reader | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Keron DeShields | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Stockton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Weisner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter