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2011-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 55.9% 44.1% -
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% -
Margin 55.2% 44.8% -1.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% -
Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Log Adjusted 86.7% 13.3% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kidd-Gilchrist * 38 9-12 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 1 2 18 16 -
D. Lamb * 36 5-14 2-3 7-11 1 1 2 1 1 19 9 -
M. Teague * 31 6-11 0-1 3-3 1 5 1 0 3 15 8 -
T. Jones * 28 2-3 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 2 6 4 0 -
A. Davis * 24 3-4 0-0 0-1 9 1 3 3 1 6 17 -
D. Miller 26 4-8 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 8 0 -
E. Vargas 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
K. Wiltjer 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Zeller * 37 4-8 0-0 3-3 7 1 1 1 3 11 10 -
J. Hulls * 35 4-7 3-6 0-0 2 5 4 0 5 11 10 -
V. Jones III * 34 2-7 0-1 4-5 4 3 1 0 5 8 4 -
V. Oladipo * 32 4-12 0-0 5-6 7 1 0 1 3 13 7 -
C. Watford * 30 8-15 4-6 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 20 11 -
W. Sheehey 16 3-8 2-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 10 3 -
T. Pritchard 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Moore 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter