Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.4 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.D. Anosike | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 36 | - |
| Evan Hymes | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Kyle Downey | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Owen Wignot | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Rob Poole | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Walters | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Davonte Beard | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 34 | - |
| R. Putney | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 24 | - |
| F. Riley | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| J. Farrell | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - |
| S. Carter | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| T. Vinson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Lalanne | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Morgan | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Esho | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter