Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.3% | 23.7% | -6.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Broekhoff * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Will Bogan * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Matt Kenney * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Van Wijk * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 26 | - |
| Erik Buggs * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jay Harris | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Richie Edwards | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Tommy Kurth | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonny Marlin * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Frank Gaines * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 33 | - |
| Trey McCorkle * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| John Peckinpaugh * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Jason Smeathers * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Isaiah McCray | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Joseph Edwards | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Demario Hines | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Michael Kibiloski | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter