Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.9% | 14.1% | -10.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -5 (78-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Hall | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Jake Gollon | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Justin Cecil | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Bud Thomas | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Monty Brown | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Travis Smith | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Daniel Coursey | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Chris Smith | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Paul Larsen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Canevari | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T.J. Hallice | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darious Moten | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Hood | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Will Cook | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Jeffrey Merritt | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Devin McNeil | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Drew Windler | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Raijon Kelly | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Matthew Friday | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Levi Barnes | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kaylin Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Hayman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter