Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.2% | 34.8% | -3.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Cousin * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 30 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| John Wilkins | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Hill * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Drew Kelly * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Ty Proffitt * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Angelo Warner * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kahlil Owens * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Marsell Holden | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Milton Chavis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Lamont Austin | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Deandre Mathieu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dionte Ferguson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Percell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter