Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Mitchell * | 38 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Trevor Releford * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Levi Randolph * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| JaMychal Green * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Rodney Cooper * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Trevor Lacey | 21 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Nick Jacobs | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Hankerson Jr. | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Ben Eblen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Carl Engstrom | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 37 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 36 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 34 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Josh Parker | 27 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter