Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.1% | 91.9% | +13.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +22 (92-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Riley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| R. Nicholas * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| D. Rodgers * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| K. Bailey * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Douglas | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| D. Cason | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| E. Waterford | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Carr | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Thieleke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bailey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Drmic * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 30 | - |
| Ryan Watkins * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Westly Perryman * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Drew Wiley | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Marks | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kenny Buckner | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tre Nichols | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarrell Crayton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter