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2011-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 77.0% 23.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 81.5% 18.5% - โœ“
Margin 56.8% 43.2% -1.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 63.2% 36.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Burton * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 4 0 0 28 39 -
J. Evans, Jr. * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 5 12 -
M. Story * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 9 12 -
O. Czyz * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 6 8 -
D. Hunt 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 2 1 5 14 26 -
K. Panzer 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 2 7 -
J. Burris 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 3 4 -
P. Nyeko 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Elliott 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Finn 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trent Lockett * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 4 4 5 -
Kyle Cain * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 0 14 25 -
Keala King * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 4 0 7 14 15 -
Carrick Felix * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 15 22 -
Ruslan Pateev * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 5 15 -
Chris Colvin 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 2 0 4 9 16 -
Jonathan Gilling 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Bachynski 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Max Heller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter