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2011-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Coastal Carolina Chanticleers The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.9% 24.1% - โœ“
Margin 81.4% 18.6% -8.1 โœ“ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 76.6% 23.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.9% 10.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 67.3% 32.7% - โœ“

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -22 (58-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Gradnigo * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 3 12 16 -
Anthony Raffa * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 5 0 0 28 43 -
Kierre Greenwood * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 3 1 3 10 18 -
Jon Pack * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 8 17 -
Sam McLaurin * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 6 -
Warren Gillis 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 8 6 -
Dexter Moore 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 8 9 -
Brandon Crawford 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
Jordan Griffin 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Charles Ashford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Addey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Richie Berry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Groselle * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 8 12 -
Barry Smith * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 2 0 15 26 -
DeVontae Wright * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 10 9 -
P.J. Horgan * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 3 9 -
Ashton Moore * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 7 9 -
Lawrence Miller 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
Marshall Harris 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 2 5 -
C.J. Bray 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
Bo Holston 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 0 -1 -
Cosmo Morabbi 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -

* = starter