Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Steele * | 36 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| M. Myers Keitt * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Nicholas * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ed Waite * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dion Nesmith * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Will Campbell | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Ware | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Phil Wait | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mykel Harris | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Austin Tillotson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daniel James | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brickman * | 35 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| W. Smith * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Avila * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Sugars * | 32 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| I. Roberts * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Wynn | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Venturini | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Jackson | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Loupos | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter