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2011-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Marshall Thundering Herd Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Margin 5.9% 94.1% +15.2 โœ“ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.0% 98.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“

Actual: Syracuse Orange +6 (62-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Pitts * 36 3-9 2-7 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 10 2 -
D. Kane * 32 3-13 1-7 2-2 10 5 2 1 3 9 11 -
D. Tinnon * 31 7-13 0-0 3-3 15 1 1 1 4 17 18 -
R. Goff * 29 4-10 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
D. Pena * 19 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 2 -5 -
S. Johnson 20 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 6 5 -
J. Coleman 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Hanner 8 1-6 0-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
N. Spikes 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Y. Mbao 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kris Joseph * 34 4-10 2-3 1-2 8 2 0 1 1 11 11 -
Scoop Jardine * 26 5-8 0-2 0-1 7 4 3 0 3 10 13 -
Fab Melo * 26 4-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 4 2 9 9 -
Brandon Triche * 20 3-9 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 6 3 -
Rakeem Christmas * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 1 -
Dion Waiters 22 4-7 0-1 7-8 0 2 2 0 2 15 10 -
C.J. Fair 20 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
James Southerland 18 1-3 1-3 3-6 2 0 2 3 0 6 10 -
Michael Carter-Williams 12 0-2 0-0 3-4 2 2 1 2 0 3 8 -
B. Keita 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter