Model Predictions
| Model | Massachusetts Minutemen | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | -4.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates -5 (58-63). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaz Williams * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Terrell Vinson * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Jesse Morgan * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sean Carter * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Raphiael Putney * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Cady Lalanne | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Javorn Farrell | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Maxie Esho | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Freddie Riley | 10 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Paul * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Darrius Morrow * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Erin Straughn * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Corvonn Gaines * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Robert Sampson * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Kemp | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Shamarr Bowden | 16 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Austin Steed | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Paris Roberts-Campbell | 10 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
* = starter