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2011-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Elon Phoenix UNC Greensboro Spartans Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% - โœ“
Margin 51.0% 49.0% -0.2 โœ“ (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.1% 42.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 59.1% 40.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“

Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans -8 (72-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jack Isenbarger 36 7-17 3-9 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 19 1 -
Lucas Troutman 30 8-9 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 2 2 19 14 -
Ryley Beaumont 22 3-4 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 0 1 9 11 -
Drew Spradlin 21 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 4 1 -
Austin Hamilton 20 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 4 1 0 2 7 7 -
Sebastian Koch 19 3-5 2-3 2-2 9 0 1 0 1 10 14 -
Kevin Blake 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
Brett Ervin 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Josh Bonney 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 2 1 -
Egheosa Edomwonyi 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Roger Dugas 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brackett 31 2-7 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 0 2 6 8 -
Drew Parker 31 3-10 3-8 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 9 0 -
Korey VanDussen 27 6-10 0-2 1-2 6 3 0 0 2 13 10 -
Trevis Simpson 26 8-16 4-7 7-9 4 0 1 0 2 27 14 -
Kyle Randall 24 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 3 3 0 1 2 4 -
David Williams 23 2-2 0-0 2-4 8 4 0 2 2 6 16 -
Nicholas Paulos 14 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 0 -
Aloysius Henry 8 1-4 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
Elhanan Bone 7 0-3 0-0 0-4 4 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Derrell Armstrong 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Taylor Hoffer 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Cody Henegar 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter