Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | ✗ (6.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +4 (86-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kirkland * | 43 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| E. Townsel * | 42 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Finn * | 41 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| M. Hooten * | 36 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 5-9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 13 | - |
| B. Peterson * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| B. Clark | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Sterrenberg | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Zuppardo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Dickerson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Ogbonnaya-Branch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Triggs * | 40 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| J. Terry * | 39 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| J. Clyburn * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Baker * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| H. Lawrence * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Edmondson | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Freeman | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Campbell | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter