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2011-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.4% 34.6% - โœ—
Margin 63.5% 36.5% -3.0 โœ— (20.0 off)
Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% - โœ—

Actual: Murray State Racers +17 (75-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Williams * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 12 15 -
Matt Kavanaugh * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 2 3 6 14 -
Josh Benson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 5 17 19 -
Kevin Dillard * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 5 8 9 -
Chris Johnson * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 5 -
Josh Parker 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 8 11 -
Devin Oliver 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 5 8 -
Luke Fabrizius 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
Ralph Hill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ivan Aska * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 13 18 -
Isaiah Canaan * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 21 25 -
Donte Poole * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 6 10 -
Jewuan Long * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 0 8 17 -
Edward Daniel * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Latreze Mushatt 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 14 20 -
Zay Jackson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 5 9 -
Stacy Wilson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 4 4 -
Brandon Garrett 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 4 5 -
Jaylen Bland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter