Model Predictions
| Model | San José State Spartans | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +2 (91-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Shamburger * | 47 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 7-10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Matt Ballard * | 45 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| James Kinney * | 38 | 8-18 | 6-12 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Wil Carter * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jaleel Williams * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Calvin Douglas | 42 | 6-13 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Stephon Smith | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| LaVanne Pennington | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D.J. Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Ton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Bamforth * | 46 | 3-11 | 1-9 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 45 | 13-21 | 6-11 | 9-10 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 31 | - |
| Kyle Tresnak * | 42 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Frank Otis * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Bullinger * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Darin Mahoney | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Richardson | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Byron Fulton | 19 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| James Hajek | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter