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Colorado State Rams 77
@
Northern Iowa Panthers 83
2011-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% - ✓
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 ✓ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% - ✓
Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.1% 62.9% - ✓

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +6 (83-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dorian Green * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 0 21 33 -
Wes Eikmeier * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 7 19 18 -
Will Bell * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 6 12 -
Greg Smith * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 11 -
Jesse Carr * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 5 3 -
Dwight Smith 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 1 2 17 24 -
Kaipo Sabas 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Trevor Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cody Mann 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johnny Moran * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
Anthony James * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 0 28 38 -
Seth Tuttle * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 2 16 18 -
Deon Mitchell * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 12 17 -
Jake Koch * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 0 3 8 15 -
Marc Sonnen 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 3 6 -
Chip Rank 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 10 12 -
Austin Pehl 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 1 4 9 -
Matt Morrison 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Marvin Singleton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter