Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +2 (62-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 37 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Taylor Stewart * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Chris Carter | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Adam Brakeville | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Simons * | 37 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Rayvonte Rice * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Karl Madison * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Jeffers * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Clarke * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kraidon Woods | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Hawley | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| David Smith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kurt Alexander | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter