Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.2% | 87.8% | +10.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Gollon * | 37 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Bud Thomas * | 37 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Langston Hall * | 33 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Justin Cecil * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Coursey * | 24 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Chris Smith | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Paul Larsen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Monty Brown | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Canevari | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Darious Moten | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T.J. Hallice | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Player #58494 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Clark * | 33 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Kerron Johnson * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 16-19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Drew Hanlen * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mick Hedgepeth * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Scott Saunders * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J.J. Mann | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Baker | 17 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Blake Jenkins | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Adam Barnes | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Trevor Noack | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter