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2011-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 75.5% 24.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% - โœ—
Margin 54.8% 45.2% -1.0 โœ— (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 69.8% 30.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.2% 46.8% - โœ—

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Pangos * 36 5-10 1-5 0-1 4 3 1 0 1 11 8 -
Elias Harris * 32 5-10 1-1 8-12 8 0 3 1 2 19 19 -
Robert Sacre * 29 5-11 0-0 6-8 2 2 1 0 2 16 8 -
Mike Hart * 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
Marquise Carter * 14 2-3 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 3 4 0 -
David Stockton 29 3-6 2-4 1-1 0 2 3 0 4 9 4 -
G. Bell Jr. 23 3-4 1-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 9 8 -
Sam Dower 17 2-6 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 5 -1 -
Mathis Keita 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mathis Monninghoff 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Selus 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D.J. Richardson * 36 6-11 4-7 3-5 2 1 1 0 0 19 12 -
B. Paul * 32 5-11 1-3 2-2 4 5 0 0 3 13 8 -
S. Maniscalco * 31 3-8 0-2 4-4 4 6 4 0 3 10 13 -
T. Griffey * 24 4-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 3 1 2 8 6 -
M. Leonard * 24 9-11 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 1 0 21 18 -
I. Djimde 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
T. Abrams 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 2 2 -
M. Shaw 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Head 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
N. Egwu 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Henry 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Bertrand 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter