Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.5% | 34.5% | -3.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pangos * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| E. Harris * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 8-12 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| R. Sacre * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| M. Hart * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Carter * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Stockton | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| G. Bell Jr. | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Dower | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Keita | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Monninghoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Selus | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 36 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| B. Paul * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| S. Maniscalco * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Leonard * | 24 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| I. Djimde | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Abrams | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Shaw | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Head | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Egwu | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Henry | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter