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2011-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.4% 88.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“

Actual: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +10 (78-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sanders * 35 2-10 1-3 4-5 6 10 2 0 3 9 14 -
T. Speaks * 33 7-11 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 15 5 -
D. Minaya * 33 6-15 0-3 2-2 8 2 1 0 0 14 10 -
A. Burrus * 32 6-14 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 1 12 7 -
J. Vander Pol * 22 0-2 0-0 2-6 5 0 0 1 3 2 3 -
J. Sanders 24 2-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
C. Phillips 14 2-4 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
E. Layer 4 1-2 1-2 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
S. Baird 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Assinesi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Gradnigo * 38 8-16 5-9 2-2 7 1 1 3 2 23 17 -
Anthony Raffa * 35 7-11 1-4 2-3 2 5 1 0 1 17 13 -
Sam McLaurin * 28 4-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 2 3 2 9 14 -
Warren Gillis * 22 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 4 3 -
Jon Pack * 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 2 -1 -
Kierre Greenwood 28 2-7 0-1 7-9 4 2 0 0 2 11 8 -
Dexter Moore 12 3-5 2-4 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 9 6 -
Brandon Crawford 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Jordan Griffin 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 0 1 5 -

* = starter