Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +16 (76-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Downing | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Weems | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Caleb Patterson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Michael Bizoukas | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jamar Gulley | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Corey Copeland | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Rhine | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Corbin Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Christian Kirk | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Keith Pickens | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Williams | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Drew Gordon | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tony Snell | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Phillip McDonald | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dominique Dunning | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chad Adams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter