Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Marshall * | 35 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| John Henson * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 24 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Bullock | 19 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 14 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Justin Watts | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Jones * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Doron Lamb * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Marquis Teague * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Darius Miller | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Eloy Vargas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Wiltjer | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter