Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.4% | 20.6% | -7.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -5 (54-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dellavedova * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Rob Jones * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 34 | - |
| Stephen Holt * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Clint Steindl * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Rowley * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Brad Waldow | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Jorden Page | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Walker II | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Beau Levesque | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amaurys Fermin * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| David Hanson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Will Taylor * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Royer | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Will Donahue | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Chris Eversley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter