Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash +22 (71-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Steele * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Dion Nesmith * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Nicholas * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ed Waite * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Austin Tillotson * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Myers Keitt | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Phil Wait | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Max DiLeo | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Daniel James | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mykel Harris | 6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Eatherton * | 31 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 30 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Stephon Whyatt * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Earl Brown * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ollie Jackson * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Ervin | 24 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jon Taylor | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Kameron Ritter | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tony Peters | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Isaac | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dominique Major | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Stanley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dexter Lindsey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter