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2011-12-01

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 67.0% 33.0% -
Bradley-Terry 4.3% 95.7% -
Margin 64.5% 35.5% -3.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Log Adjusted 53.9% 46.1% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies -3 (62-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Doolin * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 11 16 -
R. Green * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 4 1 2 18 31 -
A. Caloiaro * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 15 22 -
D. O'Connor * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 5 8 -
P. Blackwell * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 6 9 -
C. Dickerson 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 3 9 -
J. Raffington 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 3 -
G. Hoffmann 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Johnson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
K. Murphy 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Steward * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 4 4 17 29 -
K. Jamar * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 12 17 -
W. Cherry * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 5 10 -
D. Selvig * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 6 13 -
E. Hutchison * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Stockton 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 10 14 -
K. Deshields 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
B. Reader 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 5 7 -
M. Weisner 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 6 -
J. Wood 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Ward 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
K. Henderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
E. Hutchison 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter