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2011-12-01

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 3.5% 96.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 4.6% 95.4% - โœ“
Margin 1.2% 98.8% +24.3 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 22.5% 77.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 10.5% 89.5% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +22 (81-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Achiuwa * 38 6-15 0-0 6-9 10 1 0 2 1 18 15 -
M. Harkless * 35 4-12 0-2 8-10 10 0 3 3 5 16 15 -
D. Harrison * 29 2-9 1-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 5 -4 -
P. Greene IV * 29 3-9 0-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 8 5 -
N. Lindsey * 20 0-3 0-0 1-3 0 1 0 0 5 1 -6 -
S. Pointer 28 3-8 1-2 2-3 7 1 2 1 0 9 12 -
M. Stith 21 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 2 3 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Doron Lamb * 35 6-11 2-3 2-2 4 3 0 1 1 16 12 -
Anthony Davis * 32 6-10 0-0 3-6 15 0 2 8 1 15 29 -
Terrence Jones * 32 7-12 1-2 11-16 9 0 4 4 3 26 28 -
Marquis Teague * 31 2-9 1-3 0-1 5 5 2 1 2 5 7 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 22 1-7 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 3 5 -1 -
Darius Miller 27 4-10 0-5 1-1 4 6 0 1 1 9 9 -
Kyle Wiltjer 12 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Eloy Vargas 5 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 0 3 4 -
Brian Long 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sam Malone 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter