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2011-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 5.3% 94.7% -
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% -
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +20 (73-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Grant * 32 5-9 0-3 6-7 1 3 1 0 4 16 8 -
E. Atkins * 31 2-9 0-3 2-2 3 1 3 0 6 6 -2 -
S. Martin * 29 0-6 0-3 1-3 4 0 1 1 2 1 -1 -
J. Brooks * 28 3-7 0-2 0-2 5 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
J. Cooley * 21 3-7 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
P. Connaughton 26 4-8 2-3 1-1 3 0 1 0 0 11 7 -
A. Dragicevich 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
T. Knight 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 0 4 8 -
M. Broghammer 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Harris * 34 5-13 0-2 1-1 15 4 1 1 3 11 16 -
M. Carter * 33 2-5 0-1 1-2 4 3 2 0 2 5 7 -
R. Sacre * 28 6-15 0-0 3-6 5 3 1 2 0 15 11 -
K. Pangos * 28 4-10 2-7 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 12 3 -
M. Hart * 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 3 0 0 4 7 -
D. Stockton 26 5-6 3-3 2-2 3 3 3 0 3 15 15 -
G. Bell Jr. 18 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
S. Dower 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 -
R. Spangler 5 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
M. Monninghoff 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Keita 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter