๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Lafayette Leopards Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.1% 78.9% - โœ“
Margin 8.7% 91.3% +12.9 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.9% 75.1% - โœ“

Actual: Princeton Tigers +15 (69-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mower * 31 4-8 0-2 1-1 2 2 1 0 3 9 3 -
R. Delaney * 31 3-9 1-4 1-2 0 3 0 0 2 8 0 -
R. Willen * 29 7-12 1-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 3 16 6 -
S. Hinrichs * 17 1-8 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
J.D. Pelham * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
N. Petkovich 24 3-3 2-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
J. Ptasinski 24 2-6 2-5 3-3 0 0 2 0 0 9 5 -
L. Smith 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
D. Trist 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 2 -1 -
A. Flannigan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Detmer 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Doug Davis * 39 6-13 1-6 2-2 3 2 4 0 1 15 10 -
Ian Hummer * 34 10-16 0-4 3-5 9 1 2 1 3 23 17 -
Mack Darrow * 32 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 4 0 1 1 3 6 -
T.J. Bray * 26 3-6 2-3 1-3 3 6 2 0 0 9 14 -
Patrick Saunders * 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Will Barrett 28 2-5 1-3 1-2 8 4 3 3 2 6 17 -
Denton Koon 22 6-7 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 1 2 13 14 -
Brendan Connolly 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Bobby Garbade 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
John Comfort 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ben Hazel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Clement 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jimmy Sherburne 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter