Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +16 (65-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Snaer * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Okaro White * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Bernard James * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Xavier Gibson * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Luke Loucks * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Deividas Dulkys | 23 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jeff Peterson | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jon Kreft | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Terry Whisnant | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 36 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 34 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Wood * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 4-7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Travis Trice | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter