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2011-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 3.6% 96.4% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 14.9% 85.1% +9.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% -
Log Adjusted 6.8% 93.2% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +16 (65-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Snaer * 37 5-12 1-6 0-0 6 4 1 0 4 11 6 -
O. White * 32 3-9 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 7 1 -
B. James * 32 6-10 0-0 1-2 13 1 0 3 3 13 17 -
X. Gibson * 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 4 -1 -
L. Loucks * 20 2-5 1-4 0-2 2 2 0 0 2 5 2 -
D. Dulkys 23 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 -2 -
J. Peterson 22 3-6 1-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 4 7 3 -
J. Kreft 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Whisnant 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green * 36 5-14 2-5 4-5 8 1 3 3 1 16 16 -
K. Appling * 34 8-15 3-5 5-5 7 0 1 2 4 24 15 -
B. Wood * 32 5-11 2-6 4-7 10 5 1 0 0 16 21 -
A. Payne * 23 1-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 1 1 3 2 -
B. Dawson * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
T. Trice II 27 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 3 0 -
D. Nix 17 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 2 2 2 1 5 -
A. Thornton 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
R. Byrd 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Gauna 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter