Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +30 (86-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Damas * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Robert Nwankwo * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 37 | - |
| Deon Jones * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kris Walden * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jervon Pressley * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Erique Gumbs | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Will Adams | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jamel Flash | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Deyon Cook | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Bryan Blackstone | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Collins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Morgan * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 17 | - |
| R. Putney * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| T. Vinson * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Farrell * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| S. Carter * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| C. Lalanne | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 24 | - |
| C. Williams | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 23 | - |
| M. Esho | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | - |
| F. Riley | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| M. Hill | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. McCarthy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter