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2011-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 64.4% 35.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% - โœ“
Margin 68.9% 31.1% -4.4 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.7% 36.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.0% 17.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.3% 40.7% - โœ“

Actual: Boston College Eagles -8 (54-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Frazier * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 3 0 7 22 27 -
R. Travis * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 7 13 -
T. Lewis * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 5 6 -
M. Glover * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Oliver * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 1 -
J. Marshall 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 22 30 -
S. Borovnjak 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 2 8 -
C. Woodyard 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 2 10 -
N. Colella 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Ackerman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gabriel Moton * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 10 17 -
Matt Humphrey * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 15 16 -
Ryan Anderson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 3 10 -
Patrick Heckmann * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 5 -
Kyle Caudill * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 6 9 -
John Cahill 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 6 8 -
Dennis Clifford 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 3 3 9 -
Lonnie Jackson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 8 8 -
Eddie Odio 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Danny Rubin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter