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2011-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% -
Bradley-Terry 34.6% 65.4% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (38.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 2.3% 97.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +44 (108-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rice * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 19 25 -
B. Simons * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 14 18 -
K. Madison * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 2 7 -
J. Clarke * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 2 4 -
A. Hawley * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
K. Woods 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 4 2 7 12 -
J. Jeffers 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Welfringer 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
K. Alexander 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 7 6 -
D. Smith 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
C. Parker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
G. Whitaker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Elorriaga * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 9 17 -
W. Perryman * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 3 1 3 12 19 -
A. Drmic * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 15 19 -
T. Bropleh * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 16 22 -
R. Watkins * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 7 11 -
I. Hadziomerovic 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 9 13 -
D. Wiley 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 17 22 -
K. Buckner 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 16 20 -
D. Marks 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 1 0 3 8 -
T. Nichols 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
J. Crayton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 0 6 -

* = starter