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Creighton Bluejays 85
@
San Diego State Aztecs 83
2011-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 65.9% 34.1% - ✓
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 ✗ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - ✗
Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 60.6% 39.4% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -2 (83-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McDermott * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 3 25 34 -
A. Young * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 18 25 -
G. Gibbs * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 2 6 14 -
J. Manigat * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 10 -
G. Echenique * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 9 -
E. Wragge 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 19 24 -
A. Chatman 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 2 8 -
J. Jones 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Dingman 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
W. Artino 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 6 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Tapley * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 0 15 22 -
X. Thames * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 21 26 -
J. Rahon * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 11 14 -
T. Shelton * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 12 -
G. Green * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 4 10 -
J. Franklin 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 19 25 -
D. Stephens 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 1 5 15 -
A. Williams 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Franklin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter