Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +12 (70-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Novak * | 36 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Eso Akunne * | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Stu Douglass | 28 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz | 22 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Blake McLimans | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jon Horford | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Colton Christian | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Carlton Brundidge | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harris * | 36 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| S. Zeglinski * | 34 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Scott * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| J. Evans * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Sene * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Brogdon | 24 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Harrell | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| D. Atkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter