Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✗ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +22 (85-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Rivers * | 37 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Andre Dawkins * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Michael Gbinije | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 14 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Buford * | 39 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Craft * | 38 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Deshaun Thomas * | 28 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. * | 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Sibert | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Evan Ravenel | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shannon Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J.D. Weatherspoon | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Amir Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sam Thompson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter