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2011-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“
Margin 43.3% 56.7% +1.5 โœ— (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 80.8% 19.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -12 (70-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tu Holloway * 42 6-20 3-5 9-10 5 4 3 0 1 24 15 -
Mark Lyons * 40 7-18 2-6 3-3 4 0 4 0 1 19 8 -
Andre Walker * 40 3-11 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 0 1 6 9 -
Dez Wells * 22 1-4 0-1 5-6 6 0 0 0 3 7 6 -
Kenny Frease * 20 3-4 0-0 0-4 4 2 0 1 4 6 5 -
Travis Taylor 25 4-7 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 1 0 11 12 -
Justin Martin 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
Jeff Robinson 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Dee Davis 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
Brad Redford 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeffery Taylor * 41 6-11 1-2 5-6 5 2 0 2 3 18 13 -
John Jenkins * 41 8-18 4-9 0-0 7 0 2 2 3 20 10 -
Lance Goulbourne * 39 8-17 1-4 1-2 7 1 1 2 2 18 10 -
Brad Tinsley * 32 2-9 0-4 0-0 2 7 2 0 4 4 2 -
Steve Tchiengang * 21 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 2 2 3 9 -
Josh Henderson 18 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Rod Odom 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
Kedren Johnson 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 2 5 -
Kyle Fuller 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Parker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter