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2011-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Eastern Michigan Eagles Spread Result
Elo 96.0% 4.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 91.2% 8.8% - โœ“
Margin 98.7% 1.3% -24.0 โœ“ (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 79.8% 20.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.9% 3.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 88.8% 11.2% - โœ“

Actual: Eastern Michigan Eagles -32 (40-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Appling * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 1 0 11 20 -
Draymond Green * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 3 1 1 2 14 30 -
Brandon Wood * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 9 12 -
Branden Dawson * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 6 10 -
Derrick Nix * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 6 7 -
Travis Trice 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 2 0 5 -
Adreian Payne 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 2 12 19 -
Austin Thornton 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
Russell Byrd 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 3 7 -
Brandan Kearney 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
Alex Gauna 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 8 -
Anthony Ianni 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
Dan Chapman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Eastern Michigan Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.R. Sims * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 14 15 -
Jamell Harris * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 4 0 4 15 -
Antonio Green * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 5 11 -
Darrell Lampley * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 3 2 -
Matt Balkema * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Kamil Janton 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 4 9 -
Austin Harper 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 6 10 -
Quintin Dailey 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
Antoine Chandler 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Anthony Strickland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter