Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +16 (86-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hollins * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Rodney Williams * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Trevor Mbakwe * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. Hollins * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ralph Sampson * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Julian Welch | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Chip Armelin | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Oto Osenieks | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Elliott Eliason | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Maverick Ahanmisi | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Andre Ingram | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Joe Coleman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kendal Shell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Halvorsen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 37 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Josh Parker | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ralph Hill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter