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2011-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.5% 81.5% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Smith * 29 1-7 1-5 0-0 7 0 2 2 4 3 3 -
Chrishawn Hopkins * 29 7-12 1-3 4-4 2 0 0 0 7 19 2 -
Ronald Nored * 28 1-5 0-1 4-6 3 2 5 0 2 6 9 -
Chase Stigall * 24 2-6 1-4 1-3 0 1 1 0 2 6 0 -
Garrett Butcher * 14 0-4 0-1 0-2 6 0 1 1 0 0 4 -
Khyle Marshall 28 7-9 1-1 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 16 12 -
Roosevelt Jones 20 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 0 5 7 -
Jackson Aldridge 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
Erik Fromm 6 0-2 0-1 1-3 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Kameron Woods 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
Alex Barlow 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Hulls * 38 5-9 2-3 2-2 2 3 2 0 2 14 10 -
Cody Zeller * 33 4-9 0-0 8-10 8 0 3 2 1 16 19 -
Victor Oladipo * 26 2-5 1-2 5-6 7 0 2 1 3 10 12 -
Christian Watford * 20 2-10 1-2 2-4 2 1 0 2 3 7 -1 -
Verdell Jones * 19 0-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 2 1 -
Will Sheehey 31 5-8 3-4 8-10 3 2 2 0 3 21 17 -
Derek Elston 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
Tom Pritchard 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 1 0 0 3 -
Matt Roth 7 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Daniel Moore 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter