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2011-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 19.2% 80.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 21.8% 78.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% -
Log Adjusted 5.2% 94.8% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Smith * 29 1-7 1-5 0-0 7 0 2 2 4 3 3 -
C. Hopkins * 29 7-12 1-3 4-4 2 0 0 0 7 19 2 -
R. Nored * 28 1-5 0-1 4-6 3 2 5 0 2 6 9 -
C. Stigall * 24 2-6 1-4 1-3 0 1 1 0 2 6 0 -
G. Butcher * 14 0-4 0-1 0-2 6 0 1 1 0 0 4 -
K. Marshall 28 7-9 1-1 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 16 12 -
R. Jones 20 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 0 5 7 -
J. Aldridge 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
E. Fromm 6 0-2 0-1 1-3 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
K. Woods 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
A. Barlow 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hulls * 38 5-9 2-3 2-2 2 3 2 0 2 14 10 -
C. Zeller * 33 4-9 0-0 8-10 8 0 3 2 1 16 19 -
V. Oladipo * 26 2-5 1-2 5-6 7 0 2 1 3 10 12 -
C. Watford * 20 2-10 1-2 2-4 2 1 0 2 3 7 -1 -
V. Jones III * 19 0-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 2 1 -
W. Sheehey 31 5-8 3-4 8-10 3 2 2 0 3 21 17 -
D. Elston 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
T. Pritchard 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 1 0 0 3 -
M. Roth 7 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
D. Moore 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter