Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Thompson | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Ian Chiles | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| DeWayne Jackson | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Aric Brooks | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Larry Bastfield | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Ameer Ali | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Blake Bozeman | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Shaquille Duncan | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Canty | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Hamilton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Miller | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Robert Covington | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 35 | - |
| Kellen Thornton | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Jordan Cyphers | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Wil Peters | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Michael Green | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kharon Butcher | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M.J. Rhett | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tashon Fredrick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Bawa | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jay Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter