Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Southern Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.0% | 26.0% | -5.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Jaguars -20 (57-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Garnica | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Emmanuel Addo | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Tate Unruh | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Tevin Svihovec | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Mike Proctor | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Elliott Lloyd | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tim Huskisson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Connor Osborne | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Hawk-Harris | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bryce Douvier | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Brendan Keane | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameel Grace | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Frederick Coleman | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Derick Beltran | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| M. Celestin | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Russell Hill | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Madut Bol | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Monroe | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Quinton Doggett | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Marshall | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Patrick Coleman | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter