Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +17 (79-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Council | 39 | 11-22 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 10 | - |
| L. Henton | 36 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| B. Cotton | 33 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| G. Coleman | 31 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| L. Goldsbrough | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| B. Kofane | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Dixon | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Giplaye | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Bancroft | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Carter | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Koch | 33 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Anthony James | 31 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 7-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Johnny Moran | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Seth Tuttle | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Marc Sonnen | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Deon Mitchell | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Matt Morrison | 12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Chip Rank | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Austin Pehl | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Max Martino | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marvin Singleton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Lange | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter