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Cal Poly Mustangs 72
@
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils 55
2011-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Spread Result
Elo 33.3% 66.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 32.6% 67.4% - ✗
Margin 65.7% 34.3% -3.6 ✓ (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 80.9% 19.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 57.3% 42.7% - ✓

Actual: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils -17 (55-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amaurys Fermin 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 0 0 1 12 22 -
David Hanson 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 13 17 -
Dylan Royer 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 18 24 -
Drake U'u 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 13 16 -
Will Taylor 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 6 12 -
Will Donahue 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 2 7 -
Chris Eversley 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 2 9 -
Maliik Love 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jordan Lewis 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
Jamal Johnson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
Matt Titchenal 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kyle Odister 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Crosby 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 23 29 -
Kevin Burwell 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 9 13 -
Terrence Joyner 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 8 10 -
Amos Studivant 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 8 -
Falando Jones 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 9 -
C. Cox 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Luka Pajkovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Blake Ralling 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter