๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-11-26

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs High Point Panthers Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Margin 11.6% 88.4% +11.2 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 22.8% 77.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.1% 88.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“

Actual: High Point Panthers +8 (80-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Groselle * 38 7-13 0-0 1-2 13 4 1 0 2 15 18 -
Bo Holston * 34 2-5 0-1 3-4 5 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
Barry Smith * 32 3-12 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 7 -2 -
DeVontae Wright * 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 3 0 2 2 4 -
Cosmo Morabbi * 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Ashton Moore 27 4-12 4-9 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 12 4 -
Marshall Harris 26 4-9 1-4 1-2 2 6 2 0 2 10 9 -
Lawrence Miller 17 4-10 3-8 3-5 3 1 0 0 1 14 7 -
C.J. Bray 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
P.J. Horgan 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Jordan Robertson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

High Point Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Barbour * 33 3-8 3-5 11-14 3 0 2 0 1 20 16 -
Corey Law * 32 6-10 0-0 1-3 15 1 1 3 1 13 22 -
Branimir Mikulic * 29 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 5 4 -
Jairus Simms * 28 3-8 0-0 2-4 2 4 0 0 3 8 3 -
Shay Shine * 14 1-3 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 0 3 7 -
Xavier Martin 24 7-11 3-5 4-7 4 2 1 1 1 21 17 -
Travis Elliott 23 1-7 0-0 0-2 10 1 2 0 1 2 7 -
Justin Cheek 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 3 0 2 0 2 -
Devante Wallace 16 4-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 3 3 8 4 -
Landon Harris 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter