Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -10 (49-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Curry * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| O. McNally * | 32 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - |
| K. Wright * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| K. Casey * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 7-12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| C. Webster * | 21 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Rivard | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| W. Saunders | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Moundou-Missi | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Miller | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Travis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jordan * | 38 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | - |
| K. Clanton * | 34 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| I. Sykes * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. McCombs * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Days * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Jordan | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Spurlock | 21 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Crittle | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter